BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway
FinancialsAI-ASSISTED LEARNING PROTOTYPEFor personal research and educational demonstration only—not investment advice or a recommendation.
INSTITUTIONAL-GRADE EQUITY RESEARCH
10 technology leaders.
Researched in depth.
Focused DCF coverage across platforms, cloud, semiconductors, software, devices, and digital-payments infrastructure—built to be reviewed, challenged, and improved.
UNIVERSE+5.9%average model gap
Quality8.7Growth
18.9%Value
7.6
VALUEPOINT 21 · 10 ACTIVE COMPANIES
Focused technology coverage.
Ten technology-led businesses selected for deeper financial review, transparent assumptions, and a repeatable five-year valuation process.
ACTIVE UNIVERSE Platforms · Cloud · Semiconductors · Software · Devices · Digital paymentsMODEL SNAPSHOT · 10 ACTIVE
RANK / COMPANYPRICEINTRINSIC VALUEMODEL GAPFWD P/EVALUATION
PRESERVED COVERAGE
20 companies, archived—not deleted.
These models remain in the repository for future sector expansion. They are excluded from active rankings, scheduled quote refreshes, and company-level valuation updates.
View archived companies 20 models
LLYEli Lilly
HealthcareCOSTCostco
ConsumerUNHUnitedHealth Group
HealthcareCATCaterpillar
IndustrialsNEENextEra Energy
UtilitiesJPMJPMorgan Chase
FinancialsXOMExxon Mobil
EnergyJNJJohnson & Johnson
HealthcareHDHome Depot
ConsumerCVXChevron
EnergyCOPConocoPhillips
EnergyEOGEOG Resources
EnergySLBSLB
EnergyMPCMarathon Petroleum
EnergyPSXPhillips 66
EnergyOXYOccidental Petroleum
EnergyKMIKinder Morgan
EnergyWMBWilliams Companies
EnergyVLOValero Energy
EnergyINTERACTIVE DCF LAB · GOOGL
Stress the valuation, not the story.
Compare your assumptions with the growth implied by the market, a Treasury-linked discount rate, external analyst targets, and a sector-aware valuation method.
Current quote*$356Saved indicative quote · Latest saved snapshot
Reviewed intrinsic value$238Model reviewed 2026-07-23
Valuation verdictOvervalued-33.2% to intrinsic value
MARKET REALITY CHECK · REVERSE DCF
Refreshing…What does the market believe?
Your initial FCF growth14.0%Explicit ValuePoint 21 assumption
Market-implied growth—Calculating reverse DCF
10-year Treasury—Official rate loading
Calculated discount rate8.5%Model input: 8.5%
Analyst consensus target—Unavailable or provider-limited
Valuation methodReference DCF5-year explicit forecast
Assumption comparison pending
Loading market-implied expectations and Treasury context for this company.
SCENARIO VALUATION
Current price marker: $356Intrinsic value per share
PRICE
Worst case
$166
Base case
$238
Bull case
$286
Your stress
$238
| Case | Initial FCF growth | Terminal growth | Discount rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst case | 7.0% | 2.3% | 10.0% |
| Base case | 14.0% | 3.0% | 8.5% |
| Bull case | 20.0% | 3.5% | 7.5% |
ASSUMPTION STRESS TEST
Your downside case
STRESSED INTRINSIC VALUE$238Overvalued · -33.2%
DCF SENSITIVITY MATRIX
Intrinsic value per share · darker cells indicate a larger margin of safetyGrowth versus discount rate
| Discount rate ↓ / FCF growth → | -4pp | -2pp | +0pp | +2pp | +4pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2pp | $344-3% | $359+1% | $376+5% | $392+10% | $409+15% |
| -1pp | $267-25% | $279-22% | $291-18% | $304-15% | $318-11% |
| +0pp | $218-39% | $228-36% | $238-33% | $248-30% | $259-27% |
| +1pp | $184-48% | $193-46% | $201-44% | $210-41% | $219-39% |
| +2pp | $160-55% | $167-53% | $174-51% | $181-49% | $189-47% |
FINANCIAL INPUT STATUSReviewed model anchor
Saved indicative quote supplies the comparison price. FMP is unavailable or rate-limited, so the valuation remains anchored to the reviewed repository model and is identified as a reference.
ALPHABET CAPEX CHECK · VERIFIED COMPANY DATA
Higher AI capex matters—but this model does not assume $200B of capex.
Alphabet reported 2025 operating cash flow of $164.7B, capital expenditures of $91.4B, and free cash flow of $73.3B. Management’s official 2026 capex guidance is $175B–$185B. The filing-refreshed DCF starts from normalized historical free cash flow; it does not subtract the 2026 capex guidance from unchanged 2025 operating cash flow. A forward 2026 case must forecast both figures together.
- 2025 operating cash flow
- $164.7B
- 2025 capital expenditures
- ($91.4B)
- 2025 free cash flow
- $73.3B
- 2026 company guidance
- $175B–$185B capex
- Current model value status
- Reviewed reference—not filing-refreshed
Figures are from Alphabet’s February 4, 2026 fiscal-year results. Read the company release ↗
DCF VERIFICATION TRAIL
Normalized per-share anchorReproduce the intrinsic value
Sensitivity-only reference
The FCF is calibrated on a one-share, zero-net-debt basis to reproduce the reviewed base estimate. This validates scenario and reverse-DCF math, but it is not a claim about reported company cash flow or diluted shares.
1 · Starting inputs
- Reference FCF / share
- $10
- Net debt / share
- $0
- Diluted shares
- 1.000 normalized share
- Forecast period
- 5 years
- Initial FCF growth
- 14.0%
- Terminal growth
- 3.0%
- Discount rate
- 8.5%
2 · Enterprise-to-equity bridge
- PV of forecast + terminal value
- $238
- Less net debt
- ($0)
- Equity value
- $238
- ÷ diluted shares
- 1.000
- Intrinsic value / share
- $238
- Saved indicative quote
- $356
- Model gap
- -33.2%
3 · Free-cash-flow forecast
| Year | Growth | Projected FCF / share | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 14.0% | $11 | $10 |
| Year 2 | 11.3% | $13 | $11 |
| Year 3 | 8.5% | $14 | $11 |
| Year 4 | 5.8% | $14 | $10 |
| Year 5 | 3.0% | $15 | $10 |
FCFₜ = FCFₜ₋₁ × (1 + gₜ)TV = FCFₙ × (1 + g∞) ÷ (WACC − g∞)Intrinsic/share = (Σ PV(FCF) + PV(TV) − net debt) ÷ diluted sharesQuote timestamp: Latest saved snapshot · Model assumptions reviewed: 2026-07-23 · Currency: USD · Basis: per share · Validation rule: discount rate must exceed terminal growth.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
Experimental research—not an investment recommendation.
This is an independent, self-directed and AI-assisted prototype created as a personal learning and research exercise. Information on this website may be incomplete, inaccurate, outdated or generated with AI assistance. Nothing here is professional investment research, personalized financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Verify all figures independently and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions.
RESEARCH FRAMEWORK
One number is never
the whole story.
Focused technology review
Normalized free cash flow, capital expenditure, dilution, stock-based compensation, and business-specific growth assumptions are reviewed consistently across the ten active companies.
Treasury-linked discount rate
The official U.S. 10-year Treasury yield anchors a transparent CAPM and capital-structure discount-rate estimate.
Reverse DCF expectations
Market-implied FCF growth is solved from the observed price and compared directly with the ValuePoint 21 growth assumption.
External range and scenarios
Analyst consensus, bear/base/bull cases, and an interactive sensitivity matrix frame a range rather than a single precise answer.